December Trade Dips, but SA Closes 2025 on a Stronger Surplus

This article will count 0.25 units (15 minutes) of unverifiable CPD. Remember to log these units under your membership profile.

According to the lates Media Release by SARS, South Africa ended 2025 on a resilient note, posting a R23.2 billion trade surplus in December despite a noticeable slowdown in both exports and imports. The year closed with a cumulative surplus of R201.6 billion, slightly ahead of 2024’s R197.1 billion, a sign of stability in a volatile global trade environment. So, what happened in December?

📉 Exports Dropped Sharply, But So Did Imports

  • Exports fell R23.4 billion month-on-month (-12.5%) to R164.3 billion.

    • Key drags: gold and vehicles

  • Imports also declined — down R8.6 billion (-5.8%) to R141.1 billion.

    • Drivers: lower crude oil, IT hardware, and generator imports

On a year-on-year basis, exports were still up by 3.4%, while imports were 2.2% lower, helping maintain a net trade advantage.

🌐 Global Performance Snapshot

  • Asia closed with a deficit of R28.1 billion with persistent import pressures and flat export demand

  • Europe closed with R8.3 billion surplus — driven by steady exports

  • America swung to a R1.5 billion surplus

  • Oceania showed a modest R202 million surplus

📊 Key Sector Movements (Nov–Dec 2025)

Top Export Changes:

  • Precious Metals & Stones: ▲ 37% to R48.4 billion

  • Vehicles & Transport Equipment: ▼ 26% to R20.0 billion

  • Base Metals: ▼ 8%

  • Machinery & Electronics: ▼ 5%

  • Vegetable Products: ▼ 41%

Top Import Changes:

  • Machinery & Electronics: ▼ 1.7% to R35.2 billion

  • Base Metals: ▼ 11%

  • Chemical Products: ▲ 5%

  • Textiles: ▼ 11%

  • Original Equipment Components: ▲ 13%

What This Means for Business Accountants

For accountants — whether in private practice or corporate finance — trade data is a valuable early warning system. Key takeaways:

  • Watch for cashflow and demand shifts as declining imports may hint at reduced business inputs.

  • Africa continues to offer growth opportunities, especially in trade advisory and cross-border compliance.

  • Plan ahead: Export volatility (especially in metals and motor vehicles) could disrupt quarterly forecasts.

South Africa ended the year with a smaller surplus than November’s peak, but the overall trajectory remains positive.

Read more on this on the Trade Statistics webpage.

Previous
Previous

Updated Forms for the Automotive Production and Development Programme (APDP)

Next
Next

Updated SARS Interest Rates Now In Effect